Predictive Modeling In Clinical Trial Enrollment

By Jill Pellegrino, Manager of Quantitative Analytics and Roger Smith, Senior Vice President, Operations, Acurian

Predictive modeling plays a critical role in successful clinical trial recruitment planning and completion. Using predictive modeling, clinical study teams can estimate the time needed to recruit the required number of enrolled subjects using a set number of sites. Additionally, modeling provides a plan for the study team to measure enrollment progress as the study advances. Needless to say, a recruitment plan is only helpful if it is reliable and accurate; otherwise, the study team may be trying to adhere to an unrealistic, potentially overly optimistic, plan.